MANIFOLD
Will 5 famous people bet on this market?
9
Ṁ1kṀ2.2k
Apr 1
10%
chance

For them to be famous, they have to have a Wikipedia page with 1000+ words (body text only, not subtitles, tables, captions, etc.) or a social media account with 1m+ followers/subscribers.

It has to be proven that the person is who they say they are. Vandalizing a Wikipedia page to increase a page's word count or using bots to increase a user's follower count is invalid.

  • The bet must occur before April 1, UTC.

  • For Wikipedia pages, the bibliography section does not count as part of the main text when calculating the 1000+ word requirement.

  • The famous person themselves must make the bet - they cannot authorize someone else to bet on their account on their behalf.

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Ṁ1,000
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