How many traders will bet?

Question

This market resolves YES if the number of traders is 0-5 and NO if the number of traders is 6-10, changing resolutions at every interval of 5 traders.

The last trader to bet before market close gets 10 mana.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 42% chance (7 traders, as of Mar 24, 2026).

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