1+1=?
131
700Ṁ17k
2026
95%
2
1.2%
Other
1.1%
Boaty McBoatface

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to the option that has the highest number of holders by the market's closing time. [Edit: To clarify, "the highest number of holders" here refers to "Yes" holders. "No" holders do not count.]

Background:
The purpuse is to explore how fact weigh against popular opinion. Obviously, 1+1=2 as a fact. Yet the market may weigh toward a different answer, if it becomes more profitable.

Contribution:
Anyone can add new answers to the question.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

@Dagonet would you like to sell your no shares on "2"? If you do it I will give you 1 mana (i have limit order at 90% so if you sell you will have 0 profit but I will give you 1 mana so this is just 1 mana for free!

This is a good trade as 2 will clearly resolve yes, making you lose 120 mana if you do not sell @Dagonet

@121 Dagonet is a bot that undoes bets made by unprofitable/new traders (perhaps you could ping the creator instead. Or an unprofitable/new trader.)

@Interrobang i know but dagonet still talks sometimes

@Sketchy tell your bot to sell no shares because 1+1=2 clearly and you will lose.

@121 idk the bot has until the end of the year for someone to bet the market down and realize some profits. Or for people to start betting another option.

@Sketchy pls sell i have 1200 mana stuck here

@121 if you sell i give 10 mana for free

@Sketchy If you sell I give 25 mana?

sold Ṁ122 NO

@121 🫡

@Interrobang not necessarily. I am all-time profitable, yet it counter-bets me

bought Ṁ10 NO

Syntax Error

A whale is going to swing it at the last moment.

After all it's free mana.

@Velaris ??? its highest amount of holders?

Oops, I misread it, and it's probably not worth the effort to bribe, but you could...

opened a Ṁ60 NO at 90% order

@traders fill my limit order :3

bought Ṁ10 YES

"False" is clearly the answer. 2+2 does NOT equal "?".

There are two identical answers "2". Currently one is priced extremely high (~90%), one extremely low (~0.4%). Will anyone make big mana out of that?

Fight for 2!

Boaty is not the answer!

@100Anonymous Boaty is always the answer!

@embernov how to downvote in manifold markets

Boaty up to 29! Let's gooooo

Huge money to be made from small bets on Boaty!

bought Ṁ10 YES

The winner is based on number of individuals, not total amount bought

@MaxE 50>22

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy