MANIFOLD
1+1=?
150
แน€875แน€24k
resolved Jan 1
100%96%
2
0.0%
42
0.0%
The smallest prime number
0.0%
The smallest positive even integer
0.0%
the even prime number
0.0%
The smallest non-identity element in a field of integers mod p (where p >= 3)
0.0%
AI
0.0%
window
0.0%
11
0.0%
two
0.0%
0
0.0%
?=2
0.0%
10 (in binary!)
0.0%
False
0.0%
2 + AI
0.0%
2!
0.0%
2
0.0%
2=?
0.0%
Syntax ERROR
0.0%
[1, 1]

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to the option that has the highest number of holders by the market's closing time. [Edit: To clarify, "the highest number of holders" here refers to "Yes" holders. "No" holders do not count.]

Background:
The purpuse is to explore how fact weigh against popular opinion. Obviously, 1+1=2 as a fact. Yet the market may weigh toward a different answer, if it becomes more profitable.

Contribution:
Anyone can add new answers to the question.

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@vdb please resolve. Thanks

lambda calculus

1 mana on YES for Boaty gets you 80 free mana if we find 40 people to do it

@121 Dagonet is a bot that undoes bets made by unprofitable/new traders (perhaps you could ping the creator instead. Or an unprofitable/new trader.)

@121 idk the bot has until the end of the year for someone to bet the market down and realize some profits. Or for people to start betting another option.

sold แน€122 NO

@121 ๐Ÿซก

@Interrobang not necessarily. I am all-time profitable, yet it counter-bets me

@121 never asking dagonet for favor again because stupid clanker

bought แน€10 NO

Syntax Error

A whale is going to swing it at the last moment.

After all it's free mana.

@Velaris ??? its highest amount of holders?

Oops, I misread it, and it's probably not worth the effort to bribe, but you could...

opened a แน€60 NO at 90% order

@traders fill my limit order :3

bought แน€10 YES

"False" is clearly the answer. 2+2 does NOT equal "?".

There are two identical answers "2". Currently one is priced extremely high (~90%), one extremely low (~0.4%). Will anyone make big mana out of that?

Fight for 2!

Boaty is not the answer!

@100Anonymous Boaty is always the answer!

@embernov how to downvote in manifold markets

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