Will nuclear weapons be used before 2025? | Manifold

Will nuclear weapons be used before 2025?

World Geopolitics Nuclear Nuclear Risk

Basic

31

Ṁ959

2025

5%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

The only nuclear weapons that have been used in war were in Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945. Nuclear testing does not count.

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Do attacks by relatively minor actos using small-scale, surreptitiously placed nuclear weapons (e.g. hidden in a shipping container) count?

@ssh Yes

Does this include tactical nuclear weapons? Or only strategic nuclear weapons?

@schlongenheim Any and all

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