If ChatGPT 5 is released before election day (Nov. 5th 2024), will Donald Trump be inaugurated as POTUS on Jan. 20 2025?
3
25
140
2025
49%
chance

This market is to test both the belief that ChatGPT 5 is AGI

AND

that it will have massive disruptive effects in society.

If ChatGPT 5 is not released to the public by election day (in this case, public counts even if it is 1 user who does not work for OpenAI), this resolves N/A.

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huh? how does your question what you say it's measuring?

@Jono3h please explain exactly where you are confused, so I can best guide your intellect towards a logical conclusion

@Jono3h here is a 'rence to help you

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