Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2024?
Basic
17
Ṁ270Dec 31
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Nassim Taleb has Tweeted that he's working on a new book. When will it be published?
Reissues of existing works don't count.
https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1595762847748857857?t=UMalxPUJ7aEQBTjNIoBEAQ&s=19
Note: it is possible that NNT will first publish a draft online. My proposal is to count this as YES. Open for discussion...
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
You can also bet here:
Not mine:
https://manifold.markets/CalibratedNeutral/in-which-year-nassim-nicholas-taleb?r=dWFpcjAx
Related questions
Related questions
Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2025?
69% chance
In which year will Nassim Nicholas Taleb publish his next book
Will George Santos publish a book in 2024?
19% chance
Who will be the author of my favourite new book in 2024?
Will Sam Bankman-Fried author a book that will be an New York Times bestseller before 2075?
35% chance
Will Manifold be in the NYT again before the end of 2024?
63% chance
Sam Altman publishes a book by mid 2028
68% chance
Will sci-fi author Neal Stephenson publish a novel (book) in 2024?
97% chance
Will the New York Times positively cover Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys prediction in 2028?
44% chance
Will Neal Stephenson publish a novel in which AI is a crucial plot element by the end of 2026?
54% chance