This is the invitation: Who would you like to see as a Conversations with Tyler guest? by Tyler Cowen December 24, 2025 at 7:22 am Comments are open, I thank you for your suggestions for the coming year… Who would you like to see as a Conversations with Tyler guest? - Marginal REVOLUTION I selected 20 proposed people at random, you can add more. The ones that will be selected in 2026 will resolve to YES. Update 2026-01-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution timing: The creator will resolve answers to YES shortly after Tyler Cowen posts about inviting a guest (as indicated by posts like "What should I ask [Guest Name]?"), rather than waiting until later, to prevent trading after the outcome is already known. Update 2026-01-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): After-the-fact predictions: Candidates added after Tyler Cowen has already posted about inviting them will be resolved to N/A. Update 2026-03-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Katja Hoyer has been invited by Tyler Cowen ("What should I ask Katja Hoyer?") but was not on the market's list, so no answer for her will be added or resolved YES. Update 2026-05-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Richard Hanania has been invited by Tyler Cowen ("What should I ask Richard Hanania?") but was not on the market's list, so no answer for him will be added or resolved YES. Update 2026-06-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Martha Nussbaum was initially resolved YES but will be un-resolved because she declined to do the podcast after all. This answer will not resolve YES. Update 2026-06-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Martha Nussbaum will be un-resolved from YES because she declined to do the podcast after accepting the invitation. This answer will not resolve YES.

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Magnus Carlsen, followed by Dean Ball and Francis Fukuyama are most likely. See the market for live updates (18 traders, as of Jun 7, 2026).

Which people will Tyler Cowen invite to his Conversations podcast in 2026?

MANIFOLD

Which people will Tyler Cowen invite to his Conversations podcast in 2026?

Ṁ1.2kṀ2.7k

Dec 31

66%

Magnus Carlsen

63%

Dean Ball

57%

Francis Fukuyama

48%

Rebecca Lowe

46%

Emily Wilson

43%

Patrick Collison (again)

42%

C Thi Nguyen

38%

Tom Holland (the historian)

38%

Jamie Dimon

31%

Caroline Shaw

29%

Hollis Robbins

26%

Bishop Robert Barron

26%

William Gibson

24%

Robert Sapolsky

23%

Sir Demis Hassabis

22%

Jonathan Sumption

21%

Ted Chiang

21%

Samuel Scheffler

20%

Will Baude

20%

Jan Swafford

This is the invitation:

Who would you like to see as a Conversations with Tyler guest?

by Tyler Cowen December 24, 2025 at 7:22 am

Comments are open, I thank you for your suggestions for the coming year…

Who would you like to see as a Conversations with Tyler guest? - Marginal REVOLUTION

I selected 20 proposed people at random, you can add more.

The ones that will be selected in 2026 will resolve to YES.

Update 2026-01-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution timing: The creator will resolve answers to YES shortly after Tyler Cowen posts about inviting a guest (as indicated by posts like "What should I ask [Guest Name]?"), rather than waiting until later, to prevent trading after the outcome is already known.

Update 2026-01-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): After-the-fact predictions: Candidates added after Tyler Cowen has already posted about inviting them will be resolved to N/A.

Update 2026-03-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Katja Hoyer has been invited by Tyler Cowen ("What should I ask Katja Hoyer?") but was not on the market's list, so no answer for her will be added or resolved YES.

Update 2026-05-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Richard Hanania has been invited by Tyler Cowen ("What should I ask Richard Hanania?") but was not on the market's list, so no answer for him will be added or resolved YES.

Update 2026-06-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Martha Nussbaum was initially resolved YES but will be un-resolved because she declined to do the podcast after all. This answer will not resolve YES.

Update 2026-06-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Martha Nussbaum will be un-resolved from YES because she declined to do the podcast after accepting the invitation. This answer will not resolve YES.

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@mods Could you change the Martha Nussbaum resolution from YES to NO? She cancelled the invitation. Or unresolve so I can set it to NO myself?

@uair01 unresolved that one, let me know if you need anything else!

@wasabipesto thanks! Will do rest myself.

@uair01 An actual appearance is not mentioned anywhere in the question.

@MaxA Technically you're correct. I didn't forsee this and it might be a first for TC too.

But subjectively this feels correct, and may even make it more fun. (Just like wrong referee decisions are part of the soccer game.)

@mods the author seems to be acknowledging that they’ve made a wrong resolution and is happy with that. That's not how things should work here.

@MaxA I mean the previous resolution was wrong and this one is correct. This is an unexpected turn of events for everyone, including me. I consider that more fun.

@MachiNi should un-resolve. EDIT: or not?

@MachiNi The author is Martha C. Nussbaum, and the subtitle is Opera & Political Freedom. Martha decided she did not wish to do a podcast after all,

Struggling to unresolve ...

Answer was resolved more than 10 minutes ago.

Maybe impossible?

@uair01 you need a mod but I’m now realizing she was invited. For some reason I had assumed recording an episode was required but maybe not? In which case you don’t need to un-resolve.