MANIFOLD
Which people will Tyler Cowen invite to his Conversations podcast in 2026?
12
Ṁ1.1kṀ1.3k
Dec 31
91%
Magnus Carlsen
90%
Kim Bowes
52%
Patrick Collison (again)
45%
Hollis Robbins
41%
Tom Holland (the historian)
41%
Jamie Dimon
40%
Francis Fukuyama
34%
Dean Ball
34%
Emily Wilson
34%
C Thi Nguyen
34%
Jan Swafford
33%
Sir Demis Hassabis
32%
Robert Sapolsky
31%
Ted Chiang
30%
Samuel Scheffler
30%
Martha Nussbaum
30%
Will Baude
28%
Werner Herzog
28%
Bishop Robert Barron
28%
William Gibson

This is the invitation:

Who would you like to see as a Conversations with Tyler guest?

by  Tyler Cowen December 24, 2025 at 7:22 am

Comments are open, I thank you for your suggestions for the coming year…

Who would you like to see as a Conversations with Tyler guest? - Marginal REVOLUTION

I selected 20 proposed people at random, you can add more.

The ones that will be selected in 2026 will resolve to YES.

  • Update 2026-01-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution timing: The creator will resolve answers to YES shortly after Tyler Cowen posts about inviting a guest (as indicated by posts like "What should I ask [Guest Name]?"), rather than waiting until later, to prevent trading after the outcome is already known.

  • Update 2026-01-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): After-the-fact predictions: Candidates added after Tyler Cowen has already posted about inviting them will be resolved to N/A.

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Guys the CWT producer just linked to this market in an email!

@realDonaldTrump If Tyler can see this, I'm a huge fan!

Note:

I will try to resolve after the fact predictions - candidates added after TC posted them - to N/A.

Resolved YES Henry Oliver

What should I ask Henry Oliver? - Marginal REVOLUTION

I'm afraid if I resolve too late after TC posts his guest, then the whole crowd will come piling in. We'll see how that goes.

@uair01 that would be amazing

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