MANIFOLD
Who will Tucker Carlson interview in 2026 (Starting March 1st)
3
Ṁ250Ṁ131
2027
66%
Any Incumbent Governor or Member of Congress
50%
Any Democrat Running for Elected Office
50%
Any Self Described Socialist
50%
Candace Owens
34%
Ben Shapiro
34%
Clavicular
24%
JD Vance
24%
Donald Trump
20%
The Incumbent Prime Minister of Israel
16%
The Incumbent President of Ukraine

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES for each answer if Tucker Carlson releases an interview with that person or group between March 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026. An interview is defined as a conversation published on Tucker Carlson's platforms (Tucker Carlson Network, The Tucker Carlson Show, Tucker on X, or affiliated channels). For the purposes of this market, a debate shall count as an interview. The interview must be for at least 5 minutes. For group categories (e.g., "Any Democrat running for elected office"), the market resolves YES if Carlson interviews any member of that group. Resolution will be verified through official episode listings on tuckercarlson.com or other primary sources documenting published interviews.

Notes

Any Self Described Socialist shall include someone who has stated that they support/believe in socialism or are a socialist, without later disputing that (e.g., Joking, mind change). The phrases, Democratic Socialist, National Socialist, and Communist, Marxist, and shall be included, and social democrat, and Nazi shall not.

If a position (e.g., Prime minister, Governor), no longer exists, its equivalent shall not be included.

A person qualifies as a Democrat Running for Elected Office if they (1) have officially filed candidacy paperwork with the relevant election authority OR have publicly announced a campaign for elected office, AND (2) are registered as a Democrat at the time of the interview OR are running in a Democratic Party primary.

I will not be betting in this market.

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