Nassim Taleb has Tweeted that he's working on a new book. When will it be published?
Reissues of existing works don't count.
https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1595762847748857857?t=UMalxPUJ7aEQBTjNIoBEAQ&s=19
Note: it is possible that NNT will first publish a draft online. My proposal is to count this as YES. Open for discussion...
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I'm sorry if I resolved in an unsatisfying manner. I could find no better way.
I created a new and better question here:
https://manifold.markets/uair01/will-nassim-taleb-publish-a-new-boo-e312a2b26f71?r=dWFpcjAx
The user interface gives me only one option to resolve. I cannot resolve just for 2023 and leave the others open. I'm considering going for N/A and posing a new question just for 2024.
But that's not really fair for the bettors on 2023. They should lose.
I don't know what to do. Any ideas?
