Who will win the Nobel Prize in Economics, 2024?
Premium
80
Ṁ230kresolved Oct 14
34%33%
Daron Acemoglu
33%33%
James A. Robinson
33%33%
Simon Johnson
0.0%
Dave Donaldson
0.0%
Ed Glaeser
0.0%
Raj Chetty
0.0%
Andrei Shleifer
0.0%
Susan Athey
0.0%
Anne Krueger
0.0%
Joel Mokyr
0.0%
Philippe Aghion
0.0%
David Kreps
0.0%
Robin Hanson
0.0%
Ariel Rubinstein
0.0%
Ariel Pakes
0.0%
Andrew Hussie
0.0%
Michael Woodford
0.1%Other
Will resolve other if none of the listed options win, not if one unlisted person wins with a listed person.
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@joanna Markets like this which are "Multiple choice · Dependent" (Click the three dots in the upper right of the market, then "see info"), have to have a resolution which sums to 100%, so it has to be 33/33/33 (not sure what happens to the last 1%)
Susan, my dear, sit down please, honey I just found out that @RobDonnelly is not holding your shares. I am so so sorry.
@beaver1 good catch. I hope she wins, but I think Econ Nobel is sufficiently unpredictable that no one has a > 10% chance of winning on any given year.
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