Who will win the Nobel Prize in Economics, 2024?
EconomicsUS EconomyNobel Prizes
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21
Ṁ12k
Oct 16
24%
Other
14%
Daron Acemoglu
9%
Philippe Aghion
9%
Ed Glaeser
7%
David Kreps
7%
Anne Krueger
7%
Dave Donaldson
6%
Raj Chetty
6%
Andrei Shleifer
5%
Susan Athey
4%
Joel Mokyr
3%
Robin Hanson

Will resolve other if none of the listed options win, not if one unlisted person wins with a listed person.

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bought Ṁ50 Other YES

What if multiple people on the list win? Does it resolve 50/50, 33/33/33?

Yeah, that’s reasonable. The possibility is forestalled by asking about people who are altogether unlikely to share a prize together (as would be the case if we asked about, say, Johnson and Robinson). Other will be only if no one in the people listed wins.

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