Will any additional Waymo vehicles be destroyed by vandalism before the end of 2024?
Will any additional Waymo vehicles be destroyed by vandalism before the end of 2024?
39
1kṀ2503resolved Jan 28
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
On february 11, a crowd attacked a Waymo self driving vehicle in San Francisco, breaking its windows and burning it.
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/crowd-sets-waymo-self-driving-car-ablaze-san-francisco-2024-02-11/
Will any additional vehicles be destroyed by vandalism before the end of the year?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ458 | |
| 2 | Ṁ347 | |
| 3 | Ṁ115 | |
| 4 | Ṁ87 | |
| 5 | Ṁ72 |
Sort by:
@mug0 I don’t think breaking the windshield is enough to consider the car destroyed, but the video cuts off - would like to find out how the incident ended. It looks like this was recent https://www.kron4.com/news/bay-area/video-person-seen-trashing-waymo-car-in-san-francisco/amp/
To me this is one of those "world's richest third world country" moments.
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
How many cities will Waymo serve at the end of 2025?
Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service/technology be sold or abandoned by the end of 2025
5% chance
Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service/technology be sold or abandoned by the end of 2025
5% chance
Will any Waymo driverless vehicle be involved in a serious accident in 2024?
10% chance
Waymo rider harmed by anti-Waymo protestor by EOY 2025?
10% chance
Will Waymo or Cruise pause or cancel service in a metro area due to vandalism
33% chance
Which new cities will Waymo serve at the end of 2025?
Will Waymo serve any part of Berkeley at the end of 2025?
14% chance
Will Tesla serve more fully autonomous rides in 2025 than Waymo?
6% chance
Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from LAX airport by the end of 2025?
45% chance