Will an exomoon be discovered by the end of 2025?
Exomoon orbiting a ringed gas giant

This market aims to predict whether or not we will discover an exomoon, a moon orbiting an exoplanet, by the end of the year 2025. The discovery of an exomoon would be a significant milestone in the field of astronomy, as it would provide valuable insights into the formation and evolution of planetary systems beyond our own.

This question will resolve as "Yes" if, by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31st, 2025, a credible and peer-reviewed scientific publication announces the discovery of an exomoon orbiting an exoplanet

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Just publication, not confirmation, seems feasible in the time frame.

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