
At EOY 2024, who will have the best LLM?
80
1kṀ14kresolved Jan 2
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%99.0%
Google Deepmind
0.9%
OpenAI
0.0%
Anthropic
0.0%Other
Will be resolved with the same criteria as https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-google-have-the-best-llm-by-eo-b4ad29f8b98d?r=dGhlc2hvcnRicmVhZA
Only difference is that it resolve on Jan 1st 2025 (no possibility for early resolution).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,214 | |
| 2 | Ṁ428 | |
| 3 | Ṁ350 | |
| 4 | Ṁ224 | |
| 5 | Ṁ200 |
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Which company has the best LLM at the end of 2026? (Artificial analysis leaderboard)
Will LLMs Daydream by EOY 2026?
20% chance
Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?
72% chance
Will an LLM improve its own ability along some important metric well beyond the best trained LLMs before 2026?
14% chance
Will the most advanced LLM stop being from a US-based company any time before 2030?
34% chance
Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?
70% chance