US-Russia prisoner swap in March 2024?
Basic
24
Ṁ2042resolved Mar 31
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the federal governments of United States and Russia bilaterally agree to exchange any living prisoners or detainees, at least one from each country, during the period March 1-31, 2024.
To resolve YES, a prisoner swap may either be officially announced AND/OR carried out. Meaning: YES is valid for a prisoner swap announced in February only if it is executed (at least partially) in March. YES is also valid for any prisoner exchange announced in March but not necessarily carried out during March.
Resolves NO only if a prisoner exchange is neither officially announced nor executed.
Resolves as reported by major media. For any ambiguity in timing: UTC of the first verifiable report will be used.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a large prisoner exchange between Russia and Ukraine by end of 2024?
23% chance
Will there be a large prisoner exchange between Israel and Palestine by end of 2024?
35% chance
Will there be another exchange of 10+ prisoners between the US and Russia by the end of 2024?
23% chance
Will Russia propose a ceasefire in 2024?
38% chance
Will there be peace talks between Russia and Ukraine in 2024?
15% chance
Will a ceasefire be agreed between Russia and Ukraine in 2024?
12% chance
Will the United States and Russia hold nuclear arms control talks in 2024?
5% chance
Will Joe Biden and Vladimir Putin meet in person in year 2024?
24% chance
Will there be a successful coup in Russia by the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will Russia conduct a nuclear test in 2024?
7% chance