Will a news article containing the string "love in the time of large language models" be published in 2023
48
850Ṁ4637resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Must contain this string verbatim, ignoring capitalization. Must be published by someone not me or not a trader in this bet.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ100 | |
| 2 | Ṁ84 | |
| 3 | Ṁ63 | |
| 4 | Ṁ52 | |
| 5 | Ṁ20 |
People are also trading
By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?
31% chance
Will a Large Language Model be listed as an author on a peer-reviewed paper by the end of 2025?
30% chance
Will "Language Models Model Us" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will a Large Language Model save a human life through medical advice by the end of 2025?
90% chance
By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT]
25% chance
Will "Alignment Faking in Large Language Models" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
94% chance
Will "The case for more ambitious language model evals" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will any 10 trillion+ parameter language model that follows instructions be released to the public before 2026?
43% chance
Will all of the publicly accessible parts of heavengames.com/aok.heavengames.com become part of a large language model like Claude or GPT by 2025?
59% chance
We are going to start running out of data to train large language models in [YEAR]
Sort by:
I don't think a news article, or even a blog post, came out with this string, but the Slate podcast episode "Love in the Time of Replika" got surprisingly close!
People are also trading
Related questions
By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?
31% chance
Will a Large Language Model be listed as an author on a peer-reviewed paper by the end of 2025?
30% chance
Will "Language Models Model Us" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will a Large Language Model save a human life through medical advice by the end of 2025?
90% chance
By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT]
25% chance
Will "Alignment Faking in Large Language Models" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
94% chance
Will "The case for more ambitious language model evals" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will any 10 trillion+ parameter language model that follows instructions be released to the public before 2026?
43% chance
Will all of the publicly accessible parts of heavengames.com/aok.heavengames.com become part of a large language model like Claude or GPT by 2025?
59% chance
We are going to start running out of data to train large language models in [YEAR]