Will "The case for more ambitious language model evals" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Basic
1
Ṁ102026
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post The case for more ambitious language model evals is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Revealing Intentionality In Language Models T..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "The Learning-Theoretic Agenda: Status 2023" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
47% chance
Will "Towards Developmental Interpretability" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
69% chance
Will "Towards Monosemanticity: Decomposing Language..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "Parasitic Language Games: maintaining ambigui..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
25% chance
Will "Model, Care, Execution" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "The ‘strong’ feature hypothesis could be wrong" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
55% chance
Will "A stylized dialogue on John Wentworth's claim..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "Model Organisms of Misalignment: The Case for..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
79% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance