Will patio11 make a blog post about prediction markets by 2025?
Technology•Manifold•Finance•Meta-Forecasting
17
166
Ṁ290
Dec 31
20%
chance

Patrick McKenzie is the author of bitsaboutmoney.com, which covers various topics in finance and tech. However this market also resolves to YES if he posts it to some other site, such as worksinprogress.co or kalzumeus.com. Twitter threads do not count. Prediction markets must be the primary topic of the blog post, but it may be overlapping with other topics, e.g. it would resolve to YES if he wrote a post about the regulatory challenges of prediction markets.

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Selling to 20.

predicts YES

I would prefer if you didn't incentivize yourself not to write a blog post about prediction markets ☹

bought Ṁ0 of YES

@patio11 I'll take your odds at 20, considering this goes to 2025. I've put an order up if you want to keep adjusting it to there 😇

I assume the inspiration for this question is that McKenzie has an account here as @patio11 .

@MaxPayne Actually it's because my wife reads him on Twitter and on Bits About Money, and I asked her what prediction market to make.

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