
By when will Stoke Nova first launch?
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Ṁ100Ṁ5002028
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6H
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89%
December 31 2027
53%
June 30 2027
13%
December 31 2026
Resolves on or before, local time in Florida.
Stoke is currently targeting an inaugural launch of Nova in 2025. This is a highly ambitious timeline, but the company has so far moved very quickly.
Answers will resolve as YES if Stoke Nova lifts off and clears the pad before the respective dates given. A successful remainder of the flight is not necessary. The flight must be on an orbital or near orbital (like Starship) trajectory -a hop test does not count.
If Stoke is acquired or goes bankrupt, the market remains valid as long as Nova, or a substantively similar derivative, is obviously continuing development.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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