Will a vaccine for a COVID-19 variant be approved before May 1st?
9
102Ṁ520
resolved May 2
Resolved
NO
This market resolves to yes if the FDA announces it has approved a COVID-19 vaccine targeting at least one COVID-19 strain other than wild-type. Vaccines targeting multiple variants, or other diseases, will count towards this. Close date updated to 2022-05-01 11:59 pm
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ47
2Ṁ38
3Ṁ24
4Ṁ20
5Ṁ7
Sort by:
This market seems to have done better at the "look like an animal" graph that the market that was trying to do that. It is a cat.
Didn't this happen already?

People are also trading

Will FDA approve more than 10 new mRNA based vaccines before 2028?
60% chance
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against any strain of influenza before 2028?
76% chance
Will the US distribute a broadly available vaccine for the 2025-26 flu season by November 1, 2025?
68% chance
Will any Covid vaccine lose its FDA approval this year? [Kalshi]
49% chance
Will the COVID vaccine be banned in the U.S.?
Will the US approve an H5N1 vaccine for any group of people before a pandemic starts?
90% chance
Will the FDA issue an EUA or full approval for an mRNA H5N1 vaccine by 2025?
15% chance
Will a dengue vaccine based on TV003/TV005 be approved before 2050?
61% chance
Will a COVID-19 variant cause a new scare and intermittent lockdowns in multiple countries by end 2025?
8% chance
Will FDA approve more than 10 new mRNA based vaccines before 2030?
67% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules