![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252FF5yWilRxqb.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3D39297d32-5cee-4126-8c8c-f61b892fc03e&w=3840&q=75)
Will FDA approve more than 10 new mRNA based vaccines before 2028?
Mini
6
Ṁ452028
75%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Vaccines approved after this market starts are counted, regardless of when developement or trials started. Includes duplicate vaccines for the same disease. Excludes emergency use authorization.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will FDA approve more than 10 new mRNA based vaccines before 2030?
77% chance
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against any strain of influenza before 2028?
78% chance
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against melanoma before 2028?
49% chance
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against non-small-cell lung carcinoma before 2028?
43% chance
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against any type of herpes simplex infection before 2028?
62% chance
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against myeloid leukemia before 2028?
34% chance
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against malaria before 2028?
45% chance
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against any type of breast cancer before 2028?
31% chance
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against squamous cell carcinoma before 2028?
35% chance
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against AIDS before 2028?
24% chance