By What time will Socialism become the predominant economic system?
By What time will Socialism become the predominant economic system?
28
1.1kṀ10582050
75%
2100
65%
Capitalism will be replaced By a different system that is not socialism
57%
2050
51%
Socialism will never become the prominent economic system
41%
Far Future
23%
Near Future
When Do you guys think socialism may become the status quo due to automation, class struggle, etc.?
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Can you define what you mean by socialism? And which countries today (if any) you consider socialist?
@TimothyJohnson5c16 Workers or the community as a whole own and manage the means of production. There are no formally recognized countries where this mode of production is predominant, but regions such as Rojava, and the Chiapas would be examples. The worker cooperatives of which 10% of global workers are members would also be an example of something I would consider a socialist mode of production.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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