Will there be another bachelor (never married) President before 2050? | Manifold

Will there be another bachelor (never married) President before 2050?

16

1kṀ222

2050

29%

chance

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"James Buchanan, the 15th President of the United States (1857-1861), served immediately prior to the American Civil War. He remains the only President to be elected from Pennsylvania and to remain a lifelong bachelor." (whitehouse.gov)

Will count any never-married individual not just a man

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bought Ṁ10 YES

@Eliza My understanding is the overall rate of marriages in the USA is at an all-time low, or something along those lines. It seems likely there will be a lot of unmarried people in 25 years so maybe it could happen!

I saw the market trading at 25% and decided to buy some Yes. I probably would have bought No at around 50%.

For the sake of clarification, can you confirm whether this only asks about an unmarried man, or if it pertains to any unmarried individual?

@Eliza unmarried person

@strutheo Thank you! I think it could be an important factor for the question and I appreciate the clarification.

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