Will there be another bachelor (never married) President before 2050?
13
38
Ṁ194Ṁ250
2050
28%
chance
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"James Buchanan, the 15th President of the United States (1857-1861), served immediately prior to the American Civil War. He remains the only President to be elected from Pennsylvania and to remain a lifelong bachelor." (whitehouse.gov)
Will count any never-married individual not just a man
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@Eliza My understanding is the overall rate of marriages in the USA is at an all-time low, or something along those lines. It seems likely there will be a lot of unmarried people in 25 years so maybe it could happen!
I saw the market trading at 25% and decided to buy some Yes. I probably would have bought No at around 50%.
@strutheo Thank you! I think it could be an important factor for the question and I appreciate the clarification.
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