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5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the majority of respondents to this poll think that it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2024?
41
1kṀ8145resolved Jan 2
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🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ158 | |
2 | Ṁ138 | |
3 | Ṁ90 | |
4 | Ṁ57 | |
5 | Ṁ42 |
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the poll is 9.2% complete with over 11 months to go, and most people think that it will not make it:
Context:
/strutheo/do-you-think-this-poll-will-reach-5
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5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the majority of respondents to this poll think that it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2025?
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5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will Manifold users that respond to the poll asking if it will reach 500 votes by EOY 2025 predict correctly?
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📌5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Do you think this poll will reach 500 responses by EOY 2025? (7% DONE)
POLL
How many people will fill out the 2024 LessWrong survey?
What WON'T happen by EoY 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
Will I have a market with more than 200 ppl trading in it by EOY 2024?
10% chance
One year from now, will the percentage that this question resolves YES (as shown by Manifold) be above 50%?
48% chance