Will Starbase become its own official city by the end of 2025?
28
1kṀ10682026
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
resolves yes if it is officially recognized by the state as a city and has cleared all legal hurdles
Update 2024-13-12 (PST): The market will resolve YES if the location becomes an officially recognized city, even if it is given a name other than Starbase. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2026?
17% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 6 times before the end of 2025?
26% chance
Will Starlink IPO by the end 2025?
16% chance
Will Starlab Space Station be crewed before the end of 2030?
33% chance
Will starlink go public by end of 2025?
19% chance
Which city will Tetraspace live in at the end of 2025?
Will Starship conduct a manned launch before 2025?
1% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 7 times before the end of 2025?
19% chance
Will Spacesteading be a thing by the end of 2025? (Read Description)
30% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 8 times before the end of 2025?
16% chance
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2026?
17% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 6 times before the end of 2025?
26% chance
Will Starlink IPO by the end 2025?
16% chance
Will Starlab Space Station be crewed before the end of 2030?
33% chance
Will starlink go public by end of 2025?
19% chance
Which city will Tetraspace live in at the end of 2025?
Will Starship conduct a manned launch before 2025?
1% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 7 times before the end of 2025?
19% chance
Will Spacesteading be a thing by the end of 2025? (Read Description)
30% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 8 times before the end of 2025?
16% chance