Will Nikki Haley overtake and lead Ron DeSantis on 538's Republican Primary page at end of Groundhog Day 2024? (Feb 2)
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resolved Feb 3
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YES
christie drops out
+20%
on
Jan 10
Iowa Caucus and 'Blue Monday' market resolves
Jan 16
desantis drop out
Jan 21
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What happens if the polling average stops being calculated or neither of them are counted in the polling average?

@JamesF like if she drops out before feb 2? then just NA because neither of them can lead each other

desantis out, she just has to make it to feb 2nd now

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the gap shrinks!

predicted YES

@strutheo the gap widens, the gap shrinks. Is this a gaping market?

the gap widens

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here we go again GIF

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🦫We're going here next -->🔗 Will She Lead on Groundhog Day?

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This is the best visual description of the Republican primary

@GCS lol

predicted YES

@strutheo So the first guy is obviously Desantis because he has heels and is airheaded. Second is Nikki Haley, and I guess that means the groundhog head is Vivek because he's behind? And then Donald Trump is the other groundhog, watching the other others from afar.

@Shump i think youve got it

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