Will Marques Brownlee (MKBHD) release a review of the Rabbit R1 before the end of April 2024?
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@Jacy I have a limit order for 300 at 15% if you're interested (or anyone else)

@retr0id maybe its rendering!

bought Ṁ50 NO

@HansPeter hey thats not a rabbit r1!!!

bought Ṁ200 YES

Marques just confirmed in their podcast that he's definitely doing a video review.

@JonathanMannhart Marques: "This is the fundamental like 'buying a device based on future promises' thing where, AI- AI in general has all this gigantic future promise, and we're coming out with a device that's based on it super early and it delivers almost none of that promise, and you could make a real emotional argument that this is worth buying based on the possible future of what it could be to you, but, it makes it impossible to review right now because it just doesn't do that stuff"

bought Ṁ100 NO from 72% to 66%
reposted

stay strong my fellow NO hodlers, we can do this, if we all believe really hard

meditating on the "nothing ever happens" mantra

it's working

reposted

5 days left...

Reviews are dropping:

bought Ṁ213 YES

I mean idk what else he's going to do in the next 7 days. Nothing else is coming out. He's hinted as nothing else.

@JonathanMannhart there is a chance that he will use it daily for a week before doing the review, in which case the review could come out in start of May

At this point I think a MKBHD review is likely (although there's still a chance it won't arrive until after April), but I'm still gonna hodl NO because I am an irrational being.

@strutheo I assume a mere "unboxing" video wouldn't count?

@retr0id it really depends, that might count. but not if it is just a quick video posted to social media and not youtube

The pickup-party is tomorrow. If a video were to be released, I'd expect it to coincide.

2 traders bought Ṁ120 YES

@qqii also my thoughts, I'm gonna be pressing F5 like crazy lol

bought Ṁ200 NO

new not-R1 video just dropped https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HLi2xYxZX10

bought Ṁ100 YES from 50% to 55%

@retr0id That really shouldn't be an update lol. That video was going to come out anyways, in worlds with an R1 video and in worlds without. It was shot on April 8 (partially during the eclipse).

bought Ṁ500 NO

@retr0id what do u know!

@strutheo I'm being reckless really but I see this as them trying to coerce mkbhd into doing a review, and not as an indicator that he actually is. I'm leaning towards NO still because I don't think he's gonna do a full review unless the experience is substantially different to that of the Humane. Could still go either way really but definitely less than 90% chance.

bought Ṁ85 YES

@retr0id All correct, but: one highly likely doesn't release a podcast like this and then no video.

Also, it's >95% a substantially different experience than the pin. It's not a pin & doesn't have a projector & has a screen & is 1/4 the price.

@JonathanMannhart Also, if you're the MKBHD team you don't decorate an entire room orange if you don't film a video: https://x.com/jessechenglyu/status/1780659121047662890?s=46

(Coloured decoration is what they commonly do for reviews.)

@JonathanMannhart I think the theme with MKBHD is "consistently high quality". Compared with channels like LTT where they're happy to shovel out crap, if it gets clicks (no shade, just different ways of doing things lol).

Hitting that consistently high quality means two things:

1. They're always going to be putting in that effort. The fact that they dressed the set is the standard, not an exception.

2. They have many concurrent projects and regularly make tough calls about what to cut. My feeling is that they're likely (although far from guaranteed) to cut the R1. Making these decisions is awkward and I think the fact that Marques hasn't publicly interacted with Rabbit on twitter for ages is a signal of that.

I've interacted with the tech press before. Sometimes you work with them closely, give them the inside scoop etc., only for them not to run the story. It happens. Usually it's because a bigger story comes along to steal the limelight, and in this case I see Humane taking that spot.

@retr0id Secondly, Marques cares a lot about his journalistic integrity. Jesse trying to act all buddy-buddy with him is only jeopardizing that. He'd feel bad doing a review with a positive spin because it'll look like he was biased, and I think he'd feel too mean about doing a negative review. The product will suck (imho - and markets here seem to agree lol), but I think the price point and form factor make it look good in comparison to the Humane pin. which means his only choice is not to cover it.

@retr0id I don't get why his only choice is not to cover it.

He'll give his honest opinion on it. It'll be mixed. That's fine. Doesn't matter if it looks good by comparison.

I don't think the Humane AI pin stole the limelight or that that's a bad thing. They were always set to come out at a similar time and people were always comparing them. There's not much other new tech stuff happening in April, so it's a perfect fit to do a video on it if you think it'll interest the audience.

Also he's had lots of product people reach out to him, this is not new by any measure (Nothing phone, buds, etc.). That's just what happens if you're the possibly most influential tech media person.

Ofc it can always get cut! But if there's not much else in April, which is what seems to be the case right now (no iPads), then this just seems probable to me.

@retr0id I don't have any experience working with the tech press so I can't comment on that, but I find it hard to reason that Marques would allow an image of himself recording with the Rabbit CEO to go out publicly, and then not cover the product. It would scream of hiding something and/or foul play (which I doubt would actually be the case), and after his last video would look particularly off.

bought Ṁ130 YES

@retr0id Also, just probabilistically, this would just be high-level unusual of him to publicly say things like this and then never make a video.

I think it could get cut if this was September. But April? Not too likely

@JonathanMannhart Well, it's not his only choice. In fact, I lean towards YES being the most likely outcome. I just think it's less likely than everyone else seems to think it is, hence my bets.

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