
Will Manifold prefer a doctor defending us at a murder trial over a lawyer performing life-or-death surgery on us?
15
Ṁ100Ṁ526resolved Jul 19
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
resolve by poll after market close
YES if manifold prefers a doctor defending us from murder
NO if manifold prefers a lawyer doing our surgery
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Seems pretty obvious to me, murder trial doesn't necessarily lead to death sentence, so the damage is potentially lower than a botched surgery. The probability of a doctor doing okay in court is also bigger than a lawyer doing major surgery. On top of all that there's theoretical possibilities of appeals, mistrials and getting out on good behavior.
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