Will gold reach $2900 USD/oz before Manifold reaches 2900 engaged users?
9
90Ṁ1149
resolved Jun 16
Resolved
N/A

Link: https://manifold.markets/stats

  • Update 2025-06-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has noted that the 'engaged users' metric is no longer available from the source link.

As a result, they have indicated they may resolve the market to N/A.

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bought Ṁ250 NO

Manifold is currently tracking 'active users' and 'active traders'. I am assuming that 'active traders' is the correct metric to use because on the day this question was made the number of active users was 8383 and the number of active traders was 2014.

On Nov 4th 2024 the number of active traders hit 3090, and the price of gold did not exceed $2900/oz until Feb 10 2025.

I think this can be resolved NO

@LarsOsborne they used to report engaged users, i cant find it anymore so ill na maybe

reposted

any update to the probability since the pivot?

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