This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk is officially nominated or appointed to a U.S. Cabinet position by June 30, 23:59 PST, 2025, as confirmed by a credible and verifiable source, such as an official government announcement or a major news outlet.
It is not necessary for Musk to accept or serve in the position; the nomination or appointment alone is sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. If no such nomination or appointment is made by the deadline, the market will resolve to “No.”
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Elon instead going to the "Department of Government Efficiency"
Will the designation of Elon Musk as an "acting" or "performing the duties of" Cabinet officer (see https://ourpublicservice.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/The-Replacements-1.pdf) resolve this market to YES?
@octothorpe I think not. That seems distinct from the resolution criteria, which points at an unambiguous thing: "officially nominated or appointed to a U.S. Cabinet position"
That being said, Musk will not be in the Cabinet.
Trump said: “He doesn’t want to be in the Cabinet, he just wants to be in charge of cost-cutting. We’ll have a new position, secretary of cost-cutting, Elon wants to do that.”