Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Elon Musk lose his security clearance by the end of 2025?
40
Ṁ1kṀ8.4k
resolved Aug 9
Resolved
NO

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ293
2Ṁ217
3Ṁ209
4Ṁ132
5Ṁ73
Sort by:

@mods inactive creator.

In view of contracts like below, it seems highly likely he still has some security clearance at least for ITAR sensitive stuff. I suggest this question should resolve no unless someone provides evidence that he has lost at least a security clearance.

SpaceX’s most recent major government contract was awarded on July 29, 2026, when the U.S. Space Force issued a $1.6 billion order for 18 Falcon 9 military satellite launches. This followed a massive $4.16 billion Space Force threat-detection satellite contract awarded just two months prior in late May 2026.
https://spacenews.com/spacex-wins-1-6-billion-in-launch-orders-for-military-satellite-networks/

He currently has a security clearance??? Oh God, no.

I mean it's not a great situation but I don't see it changing.

@evergreenemily he works with NASA. I 100% expect him to have some minor level of security clearance at least

predictedYES

@evergreenemily Yes, and he turned off his satellites that Ukrainians were relying on in the middle of a counterattack in order to sabotage it.

@NADZOR Oh, I knew about that bit. I guess he must have had security clearance to know about that, huh...

Really, really don't like that billionaires can cut off our means of communication on a whim like that. We should really fix that.

predictedYES

@Stralor If you’re a detriment to nat sec or, say, actively aiding an enemy state in conflict, it’s never too late to lose said clearance.