Will construction on a second Colossus of Rhodes be started by the end of 2029?
Will construction on a second Colossus of Rhodes be started by the end of 2029?
6
100Ṁ1922030
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
bought Ṁ10 NO3mo
It would be cool but I suspect shitty world economy plus impending huge earthquake in the region mean it won't happen
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will there be an Age of Mythology II by end of 2028?
73% chance
Will Artemis II launch before 2026?
1% chance
Will the "Colossus to Prometheus" statue be built somewhere in the San Francisco Bay before 2050?
13% chance
Will the construction of the 10,000-year Clock of Long Now be completed before Dec 31, 2025?
12% chance
Will Artemis II launch before 2027?
45% chance
Will the Oblisco Capitale be Built in Egypt Before 2030?
50% chance
Will Hinkley Point C be complete by the end of June 2027?
11% chance
Will a bridge across the Strait of Messina between mainland Italy and Sicily have started construction by 2030?
43% chance
Will construction on Penlink finish before 2027?
31% chance
Will the planned city of Praxis begin construction by 2030?
46% chance