Will at least 40 countries recognize the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic on Jan 1st 2030?
3
27
Ṁ40Ṁ90
2030
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_recognition_of_the_Sahrawi_Arab_Democratic_Republic
The Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic (SADR) is a partially recognized state in the Western Sahara, which is currently disputed and administered by Morocco. According to Wikipedia, the SADR has been recognized by 84 different UN member states at various times, but that number has been decreasing. As of EOY 2023 the SADR maintains diplomatic relations with 46 UN member states, and is a full member of the African Union. Will this number still be 40 or more by 2030?
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