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MANIFOLD
Which Erdos Problems will be solved before October 2026?
14
Ṁ1.3kṀ1.5k
Sep 30
22%
#77 — Ramsey-number exponential growth
21%
#61 — Erdős–Hajnal conjecture
19%
#242 — Erdős–Straus conjecture
14%
#28 — Erdős–Turán additive basis conjecture
13%
#52 — Sum-product problem
10%
#120 — Erdős similarity problem
9%
#20 — Sunflower conjecture
8%
#3 — Divergent reciprocal sums and arithmetic progressions
8%
#89 — Sharp distinct-distances problem
Resolved
YES
#571 — Which Turán exponents exist?

Options resolve as 'yes' when they go from unsolved to solved on erdosproblems.com

Options resolve as 'no' if they don't go from unsolved to solved before October 1, 2026.

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My guess is that many of these are solved. The model which solved Navier Stokes solved a lot of other problems too, unannounced. Prolly won't be announced in time to resolve as 'yes' on this market though 🤔

I set up a chatgpt monitor to let me know if any of these get solved

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2605.22763v1

Nine new solutions from Google DeepMind.

None which were added to this market though.