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MANIFOLD
Which Erdos Problems will be solved before October 2026?
16
Ṁ1.3kṀ6.2k
resolved Oct 1
Resolved
YES
#571 — Which Turán exponents exist?
Resolved
NO
#3 — Divergent reciprocal sums and arithmetic progressions
Resolved
NO
#20 — Sunflower conjecture
Resolved
NO
#28 — Erdős–Turán additive basis conjecture
Resolved
NO
#52 — Sum-product problem
Resolved
NO
#61 — Erdős–Hajnal conjecture
Resolved
NO
#77 — Ramsey-number exponential growth
Resolved
NO
#89 — Sharp distinct-distances problem
Resolved
NO
#242 — Erdős–Straus conjecture
Resolved
NO
#120 — Erdős similarity problem

Options resolve as 'yes' when they go from unsolved to solved on erdosproblems.com

Options resolve as 'no' if they don't go from unsolved to solved before October 1, 2026.

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My guess is that many of these are solved. The model which solved Navier Stokes solved a lot of other problems too, unannounced. Prolly won't be announced in time to resolve as 'yes' on this market though 🤔

@jim Shockingly few of the other ones are solved. Combinatorics has a big left tail of easy problems, but I think some of them are harder. Analysis is where we have made the most progress.

I set up a chatgpt monitor to let me know if any of these get solved

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2605.22763v1

Nine new solutions from Google DeepMind.

None which were added to this market though.