What counts is the problem marked as being resolved in https://www.erdosproblems.com Update 2026-01-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution timing clarification: The market will resolve based on when problems are marked as resolved on the Erdös Problems website in 2026, regardless of when the actual mathematical solution was discovered or published.

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, More than 50, followed by 6-10 and 11-50 are most likely. See the market for live updates (12 traders, as of May 20, 2026).

Number of open Erdös problems resolved in 2026

MANIFOLD

Number of open Erdös problems resolved in 2026

Ṁ1kṀ11k

Dec 31

0.1%

1-5

0.6%

6-10

0.2%

11-50

99%

More than 50

What counts is the problem marked as being resolved in https://www.erdosproblems.com

Update 2026-01-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution timing clarification: The market will resolve based on when problems are marked as resolved on the Erdös Problems website in 2026, regardless of when the actual mathematical solution was discovered or published.

Market context

Math

Mathematics

Millennium Prize Problems

Get

1,000

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