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MANIFOLD
How many Erdős problems will be marked solved on erdosproblems.com at the end of 2026?
1
Ṁ125Ṁ60
Dec 31
7%
≤599
18%
600–629
39%
630–659
18%
660–699
18%
700+

Context:

erdosproblems.com currently displays 1217 problems, of which 565 (46%) are solved.

Tao announced in January that problem #728 was solved more or less autonomously by AI — the first such milestone, then OpenAI's May 20 counterexample to the 1946 unit-distance conjecture became the first historically significant proof from an AI model, and on August 1 Astra added 10 more advances including three additional Erdős problems. Labs have explicitly realized the site works as a benchmark, which means the remaining open problems are now targets in a race. The scoreboard is public: erdosproblems.com

Resolution terms:

Resolves per the “X problems have been solved” counter on the erdosproblems.com homepage, using the last Wayback Machine snapshot dated on or before Dec 31, 2026 (or a live check on Jan 1 if no snapshot exists).

Counts all problems marked SOLVED regardless of whether AI, humans, or hybrid teams did it, and regardless of when the underlying solution occurred — the site records status changes when solutions are verified, not when they happen,  so verification lag is part of what you’re trading.

Growth in the total problem count (it went from 1,179 in February  to 1,217 now) is irrelevant; only the solved count matters.

If the site is down or abandoned, fallback: solved-status count in the teorth/erdosproblems GitHub database as of the same date.

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