Ethiopia was the first, laos was second Update 2026-10-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The selling ban only needs to apply to new cars, not used cars.

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Singapore, followed by Other and China (mainland) are most likely. See the market for live updates (3 traders, as of Oct 18, 2026).

Which country will be the third to totally ban the selling and import of new gasoline cars?

MANIFOLD

Which country will be the third to totally ban the selling and import of new gasoline cars?

Ṁ300Ṁ444

2046

27%

Singapore

20%

Other

China (mainland)

Canada

Switzerland

New Zealand

Luxemburg

Norway

Brazil

Germany

France

USA

Ethiopia was the first, laos was second

Update 2026-10-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The selling ban only needs to apply to new cars, not used cars.

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