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MANIFOLD
Which state will be the first to ban the sale of new gas powered cars?
9
Ṁ500Ṁ1.3k
2030
47%
California
7%
Colorado
6%
Other
4%
Maryland
4%
Vermont
4%
Ohio
4%
Maine
3%
Texas
3%
Hawaii
2%
Utah
2%
Kentucky
2%
New York
2%
Tennessee
1.8%
Montana
1.7%
West Virginia
1.6%
Arkansas
1.5%
Oklahoma
1.3%
Alabama
1.3%
Illinois
1.2%
North Dakota

If multiple do it at the same time they resolve 50 50 or 33 33 33 etc

  • Update 2025-06-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on when a ban on the sale of new gas-powered cars goes into effect, not when the relevant legislation is passed.

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Are you counting a phase-out like in California, which will potentially ban sales of new gas powered cars?

And if so, I suppose it starts when the ban goes into effect, not when it's first passed?

@TimothyJohnson5c16 yes it has to actually happen

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