Which state will be the first to ban the sale of new gas powered cars?
5
500Ṁ1304
2030
24%
California
10%
Colorado
8%
Other
6%
Maryland
6%
Vermont
5%
Maine
5%
Ohio
5%
Texas
4%
New York
4%
Hawaii
3%
Utah
3%
Kentucky
3%
Tennessee
3%
Montana
2%
West Virginia
2%
Arkansas
1.9%
Illinois
1.9%
Oklahoma
1.8%
Alabama
1.6%
North Dakota

If multiple do it at the same time they resolve 50 50 or 33 33 33 etc

  • Update 2025-06-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on when a ban on the sale of new gas-powered cars goes into effect, not when the relevant legislation is passed.

Automotive
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Which country will be the first to totally ban the selling and import of gasoline cars?
Will any USA State pass a law banning the sale of non-hybrid Gas Powered cars to average consumers by the end of 2030?
45% chance
Will the sale of new gas cars be illegal in California in 2035?
39% chance
Will Congress pass a law banning the sale of non-hybrid Gas Powered cars to average consumers by the end of 2040?
37% chance
Will Congress pass a law banning the sale of non-hybrid Gas Powered cars to average consumers by the end of 2030?
15% chance
Will the sale of new gas cars be illegal in Washington in 2035?
43% chance
Will the sale of new gas cars be illegal in Virginia in 2035?
33% chance
Will the sale of new gas cars be illegal in Illinois in 2035?
37% chance
Will the sale of new gas cars be illegal in West Virginia in 2035?
33% chance
Will the sale of new gas cars be illegal in Texas in 2035?
31% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy