☘️What will happen in March 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]

510Ṁ1679

Apr 1

98.5%

Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive for the entire month

97%

Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%

96%

A tesla catches fire as reported by news or tesla-fire.com

92%

Ayatollah Khamenei will be alive the whole month

72%

the Two astronauts land alive on Earth

69%

web3isgoinggreat makes at least 20 posts this month

69%

Large Tech company announces layoffs

59%

A YouTube video specifically about marching, matches, mars, arches, or archery is uploaded and gets >1M views

50%

NASDAQ hits an all time high

50%

The DJIA, S&P 500, and NASDAQ all hit new all-time highs.

50%

Tiger Woods birdies a hole in PGA event

50%

usa politician pulicized visit to japan

50%

>= 67.0% of Manifold users agree that weak AGI has been achieved in the monthly poll

50%

Alan's Conservative Countdown to AGI at >= 94%

50%

vivo X200 Ultra is announced

46%

2 or more inches of snow fall in nyc

43%

SpaceX launches >11 rockets

32%

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam >= 75%

31%

Weak AGI exists, as defined by the Metaculus market on the topic having resolved YES before the end of the month

31%

another right wing media persona is revealed to have taken russia money

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I'm not sure who added it, but weak AGI cannot be achieved for the first time in the monthly poll because it already was achieved in the December 2024 poll.

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