☘️What will happen in March 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]

585Ṁ5056

Apr 1

99%

Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive for the entire month

97%

Ayatollah Khamenei will be alive the whole month

66%

At least 3 users' comments on this market contain the word "rationalussy"

50%

Alan's Conservative Countdown to AGI at >= 94%

37%

>= 20% of Manifold respondents believe that weak superintelligence has been achieved in the monthly poll

14%

another right wing media persona is revealed to have taken russia money

vivo X200 Ultra is announced

web3isgoinggreat makes at least 20 posts this month

>= 67.0% of Manifold users agree that weak AGI has been achieved in the monthly poll

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam >= 75%

Any Trump family member and/or Biden family member is charged with a NEW crime.

8.0+ magnitude earthquake

taylor swift and travis kelce announce breakup OR engagement/marriage

Israel : Hamas Ceasefire

For the first time, weak AGI is declared to have been achieved by a majority of Manifold respondents in the monthly poll

Taylor Swift is engaged to Travis Kelce (not necessarily proposed to in Jan)

Pope Francis dies

Tucker Carlson interviews Nick Fuentes

Coup attempt in the United States

MIT President resigns

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

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8 Comments

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@evan rationalussy is kinda a dead meme at this point, but 3 users is a pretty low threshold, though there's only 1 day left

14d

@TheAllMemeingEye

Mars: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/p7f8oR5ELwk https://www.youtube.com/shorts/gqq-6ocgUko

Archery: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/GDpOekkf0t0 https://www.youtube.com/shorts/KTadNGX8RZU https://www.youtube.com/shorts/hgto2DMHJuo

Marching: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/5diIjn5av0I https://www.youtube.com/shorts/hemxHxDN55k

14d

@MugaSofer God damn you did it again, maybe I should have made the threshold higher lol

22d

@TheAllMemeingEye shorts don't count, right?

bought Ṁ5 YES22d

@dgga I would count them

bought Ṁ80 YES

@strutheo Hewlett Packard Enterprise https://www.cnbc.com/2025/03/06/hewlett-packard-enterprise-hpe-q1-earnings-report-2025.html

2mo

I'm not sure who added it, but weak AGI cannot be achieved for the first time in the monthly poll because it already was achieved in the December 2024 poll.

22d

@SteveSokolowski it would be cool if you could make a graph of the AGI poll results over time

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