☘️What will happen in March 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
574
9k
62k
resolved Apr 14
January starts
February starts
March starts
Resolved
NO
NYC St Patrick's Day Parade interrupted by protestors
Resolved
YES
Large Tech company announces layoffs
Resolved
N/A
DDoS attack against major software company (noticeable and repoted)
Resolved
YES
Kanye makes a new tweet
Resolved
NO
BTC drops below $40K
Resolved
NO
Trump or Biden drop out/die/are disqualified from the 2024 presidential election
Resolved
YES
Cenk Uygar receives >1% of the vote in a Democratic Primary
Resolved
NO
Government bails out a company (USA)
Resolved
N/A
This market has 20 resolve yes
Resolved
NO
V appears more than W on Wikipedia english homepage on the 28th of march
Resolved
NO
Headline on the Ides of March about an animal escaping a zoo somewhere
Resolved
NO
A sixteen seed beats a one seed in march madness
Resolved
N/A
more answers here resolve YES than NO (excluding NA)
Resolved
N/A
at least one person from congress announces retirement
Resolved
YES
a Tesla catches fire as reported and confirmed by mainstream news or tesla-fire.com
Resolved
YES
nvidia reaches a new all time high stock price
Resolved
NO
military info leaks via the War Thunder gaming community (sensitive enough to be removed but not required to be classified)
Resolved
YES
The Detroit Pistons win a game.
Resolved
YES
The Detroit Pistons win multiple games.
Resolved
YES
Haley drops out (was - Haley Or Desantis drop out)

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Damn, I was hoping this was in the current April market after I saw the news lol

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/world-europe-68821150

Based on what data was this resolved? The other markets on this haven't resolved yet, and I haven't been able to find an answer yet (neither NOAA nor NASA data out yet, afaict).

@binarypigeon Yeah this market seems to imply that this was probably a misresolution

@Arky will open it back up

@binarypigeon polymarket resolved this yes

he mentions kanye is his 'slave name' so we have a 'is obamacare = saying obama' situation, what was the outcome of that @Joshua

https://pagesix.com/2024/03/23/entertainment/kanye-west-demands-music-industry-refer-to-him-as-ye-claims-his-former-moniker-is-a-slave-name/

@strutheo oh he did not say it publicly, it was written by someone on his behalf...

@strutheo I concur, not a public saying

based on the news it appears the haiti coup hasnt actually completed yet? there is still gang violence and talks but the government is in power afaik?

was there a decision on this? it seems like it traded high then plummeted due to the discussion in the comments , not sure what the outcome should be cc @SteveSokolowski @ChristopherRandles

i'm probably going to NA if there isnt a clear resolution based on the trader confusion if there isnt a clear outcome

@strutheo I believe the answer is YES. Do a search for the name "Christopher Steele" and decide whether the judgment in his favor qualifies.

@SteveSokolowski Are you taking the view that the case thrown out is one judgement and the order for costs is another judgement?

Case thrown out in Feb so not *in* March.

I don't know what you are looking for so haven't spent time to find out if cost being awarded was pretty much guaranteed in Feb

@SteveSokolowski i think the last question was: did this happen in february and is just being ordered in march, or is the march order a separate action

@strutheo @SteveSokolowski
"If you instigate but then discontinue a claim, the standard rule is that you will be liable to pay your opponent's costs. This rule can sometimes be displaced, but only in exceptional circumstances. It is important to be aware of and to understand this rule before issuing and serving a claim."

https://www.gabyhardwicke.co.uk/briefing-notes/costs-in-litigation/

If it only gets discontinued when the judge throws it out as cannot succeed, this only makes costs being awarded more likely or similarly likely, I would think.

There will then be a process of looking at defendants costs and deciding what was necessary. Hence a month later there is order for costs rather than immediate.

The question is whether this is mere administration or is the order for costs a "judgement".

Seems more like administration in March than a judgement to me, but I didn't write the requirements for this market.

reposted

will start going through to look at evidence and resolve . here is april!
/strutheo/what-will-happen-in-april-2024-add

Just a little early by 15 min, but in case no-one gets nearer to time
Trump 2.22 - 2.24
Biden 2.48-2.5
So trump favoured

bought Ṁ100 Answer #01b573578da3 NO

This is a NO - last game just ended with no HR for Ohtani

Technically this will happen on April 1st, so not in March

@Arky thats a lame technicality i did not think of when i made it... hm

@strutheo It could always go in the April market!

bought Ṁ1 Answer #dfed2027926b NO

@Arky @strutheo Arguably the win happens in March even if the calculation is not made until 4/1

@simoj No, the season actually closes at a random time on April 1st. The February season counted trades made until 6:30 pm on March 1st, so each month's season does technically end in the next month.

bought Ṁ100 Answer #17fe0f8d11b8 NO

@Arky Oh geeze I made a wrong assumption

@Arky But if he is 7k ahead at end of March and Joshua earns less than 7k in April prior to close of league then Ammon has done the work necessary in March?

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