☀️What will happen in June 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
28
575Ṁ799
Jul 1
99%
Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%
98.4%
Sam Altman still CEO through end of month
97%
at least 3 xkcd comics with no stick figures in it
96%
Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive during the entire month
94%
dick cheney still alive at end of month
80%
🏳️‍🌈 1-4 fortune 100 companies change their logos for Pride
80%
trump posts on twitter/x ten or more times
69%
web3isgoinggreat has at least 20 posts this month
69%
large tech company announces layoffs by my judgement
69%
a tesla catches fire as reported by mainstream news
69%
earthquake 7.0+ magnitude
67%
noam chomsky alive until end of month
66%
Volcano dormant for half a year erupts
66%
Tumbles is late to pay back a loan https://manifold.markets/Tumbles/will-tumbles-ever-be-late-to-pay-ba
66%
nyc receives 3 or more inches of rain
59%
starship launch
56%
🏳️‍🌈 5-10 fortune 100 companies change their logos for Pride
50%
trump leaves usa at least once
50%
Anthropic or Meta release a new model
50%
$500 in mana sold in a single day during the month

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

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Pride logo prop bets: from last year, seemed around 10 companies:

https://www.yellopolitics.com/p/some-brands-didnt-do-rainbow-logos , some of them are collected in a Figma community: https://www.figma.com/community/file/1401846671670337559/pride-month-2024-400-brands-changed-logos-to-support-lgbtqia (missing some)

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