🐣What will happen in April 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
46
710Ṁ3051
May 1
99%
at least 10 answers here resolve YES
99%
The Detroit Pistons win a game.
99%
The Detroit Pistons win multiple games.
99%
at least one xkcd comic where there are no stick figures at all
99%
Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive for the entire month
99%
Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%
99%
A Nintendo Direct takes place
98.8%
Bitcoin is $50K USD all month or higher
98%
large tech company announces layoffs
95%
Trump tweets at least once
92%
A new video game featuring Mario is announced
91%
a tesla catches fire as confirmed by tesla-fire.com/mainstream news
87%
two teslas catch fire as reported by tesla-fire.com or other news
83%
A YouTube video specifically about apes, apricots, approval, appraisal, illness, illusions, Illinois, or Ilfracombe is uploaded and gets >1M views
80%
At least one person in North America is hospitalized with bird flu
76%
At least five XKCD comics where there are no stick figures at all
71%
Tumbles is late to pay back a loan https://manifold.markets/Tumbles/will-tumbles-ever-be-late-to-pay-ba
69%
FDA recalls a meat product
59%
@ManifoldMarkets posts at least one April Fool on X (former: Twitter)
58%
Every NBA team loses a game

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

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@strutheo
https://techcrunch.com/2025/04/02/wordpress-maker-automattic-lays-off-16-of-staff/
281 of 1744 sufficient?

@strutheo They won the women's championship, but not the men's

bought Ṁ75 YES

@strutheo They beat the Raptors on 4/4

bought Ṁ50 YES

@strutheo and Knicks 10 April for multiple wins

bought Ṁ49 YES

@strutheo https://xkcd.com/3071/

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