
🐣What will happen in April 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
49
710Ṁ3375May 1
99%
Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive for the entire month
99%
Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%
98.8%
Bitcoin is $50K USD all month or higher
92%
A new video game featuring Mario is announced
90%
At least five XKCD comics where there are no stick figures at all
83%
A YouTube video specifically about apes, apricots, approval, appraisal, illness, illusions, Illinois, or Ilfracombe is uploaded and gets >1M views
80%
At least one person in North America is hospitalized with bird flu
69%
FDA recalls a meat product
59%
@ManifoldMarkets posts at least one April Fool on X (former: Twitter)
58%
Every NBA team loses a game
50%
NFL, MLB, or NBA player arrested for DUI
50%
Dwarf Fortress Adventure Mode releases
50%
Adam Something uploads more than 2 videos
50%
An American union with over 1000 members begins a strike
50%
DDoS attack against major software company
35%
Starship Launch
31%
skibidi toilet releases at least two new mainline videos this month (even if individual parts)
31%
A controversial Manafold market resolution leads to a 100+ message thread arguing about it
27%
It's the hottest April on record globally
26%
Israel / Palestine ceasefire (at least 24 hours)
I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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