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🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES]
30
Ṁ365Ṁ1.3k
2027
76%
Andrew Tate found guilty of a crime
57%
Cannabis is removed from Schedule 1
54%
Solar panels removed from the White House (again).
50%
Lantern bioworks Lumina treatment given FDA approval for something
41%
spiderman beyond the spiderverse releases
40%
gta 6 releases
37%
The official name of Elder Scrolls 6 is announced
34%
Joe Biden passes away or is murdered
23%
Saudi Arabia recognizes Israel
22%
he outlives inflation in the usa (trailing 12 month CPI increase less than 2% before he dies)
20%
binance cease operating
14%
Windows 12 released
13%
trump found guilty of a crime
12%
the ukraine russia war ends
11%
human walks on the moon again
8%
The last case of Guinea worm in humans
5%
azerbaijian invades armenia
4%
first female president
3%
destiny goes on joe rogan
3%
Ukraine joins NATO

  • Update 2026-08-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The option "first female president" refers specifically to the First Female US President.

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bought Ṁ3 YES

@strutheo Here I infer pardons won't change the resolution, just what the court finds

@JussiVilleHeiskanen yes

@strutheo From context, despite there being international options, this is First Female US president

@JussiVilleHeiskanen yes

@strutheo "Slay the Spire 2 releases on steam early access" should resolve to YES

opened a Ṁ400 YES at 90% order

@strutheo resolves YES

For Guinea Worm, see my numeric market:

How will these resolve?

mr beast hits 250M subs on youtube

92%

Alec Baldwin case ends

90%

Trump running mate announced

90%

2024 election is called by AP

86%

The Federal Reserve decreases interest rates

86%

Next President is sworn in ( even if it's Biden )

@spiderduckpig oops i copied old ones, na

how quickly we've moved on from jimmy...

@Marnix i have a market for that /strutheo/a-year-after-jimmy-carter-dies-who lol

People are also trading

Will Noam Chomsky get a black bar on hnews when he passes away
27% chance
Will Noam Chomsky become a centenarian?
25% chance
Will Noam Chomsky become a centenarian?
24% chance
Will Noam Chomsky outlive Joe Biden?
20% chance
Will Noam Chomsky live longer than Bertrand Russell? (Russell died at 98)
64% chance
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46% chance
Will Noam Chomsky be alive to witness the development of AGI?
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Will Noam Chomsky live to see Spider-Man Beyond the Spider-Verse?
58% chance
Will Noam Chomsky live long enough to see Luffy find the One Piece?
11% chance
Will Noam Chomsky publicly admit his theory of linguistics is mostly wrong before turning 100?
6% chance