πŸ—“οΈ2024 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (73 DONE)
βž•
Plus
88
αΉ€35k
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
1.0%
first confirmed Neuralink trials with humans
Resolved
2%
USA President issues an executive order
Resolved
4%
Bitcoin reaches 50K usd or more
Resolved
5%
EOD Fat Tuesday/Mardi Gras - Feb 13
Resolved
6%
this market reaches 1000 views
Resolved
7%
this market reaches 1k individual TRADES
Resolved
8%
A tesla catches fire as reported by tesla-fire.com
Resolved
9%
Mr Beast hits 240M Youtube Subscribers
Resolved
10%
GenoSamuel releases Chris Chan History #84
Resolved
11%
Contrapoints releases a video (not a reupload)
Resolved
12%
Supreme Court issues decision on Trump v. Anderson (decide whether Section Three of the 14th amendment disqualifies Trump from being listed on the primary ballot)
Resolved
13%
Nikki Haley drops out of the primary OR accepts a VP running spot OR wins the republican primary (ie she becomes the candidate or otherwise ends run)
Resolved
14%
Sweden Joins Nato
Resolved
15%
Spacex launches 25th rocket of the year
Resolved
16%
Mr Beast hits 245M Youtube Subscribers
Resolved
17%
EOD Ides of March - Mar 15
Resolved
N/A
this market reaches 100 TRADERS - NA duplicate
Resolved
18%
GenoSamuel releases Chris Chan History #85
Resolved
19%
EOD St Patrick's Day - Mar 17
Resolved
20%
English Wikipedia reaches 6.8M ARTICLES or more

README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:

  • 1st event: 1% (happens soonest)

  • 2nd event: 2% (happens next)

    ...

  • 100th event: 100% (happens latest)


Any events that do not happen by EOY 2024 will be resolved 100% YES.

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73 complete!
next year is up! /strutheo/2025-timeline-which-of-these-events

It was very confusing to see the feed of things that didn’t happen resolve YES. Lol

opened a αΉ€100 NO at 76% order

Jimmy Carter dies 73% ?

@strutheo Thanksgiving should have resolved by now.

@strutheo my first thought was of the podracer, https://starwars.fandom.com/wiki/Cy_Yunga

@strutheo Do you have one of these for 2025?

@jks working on one :)

@strutheo submit any suggestions you have

bought αΉ€1 NO

@strutheo the Dodgers did the entire world a favor and beat the Yankees.

bought αΉ€10 NO

@strutheo He uploaded a new video earlier today

Looks like
61 Nobel peace prize winner announced 11 Oct
https://www.nobelpeaceprize.org/articles/nobel-peace-prize-2024-announcement
the ceremony is not til Dec but it is announcement that counts.
62 Rivals of Aether 2 released 23 Oct
https://store.steampowered.com/app/2217000/Rivals_of_Aether_II/

Other could slip in earlier than these so could be higher but probably should expecting at least these to happen:
63 First game of MLB world series 26th Oct
64/5 Halloween 31 Oct
64/5 Last game of MLB world series 30th Oct - 3 Nov
66+? Election called if not tight 6th Nov
67+? Rookie of the year mid Nov
68+? Cy Young mid Nov
69+? Thanksgiving 28 Nov
70+? Boxing day 26 Dec

bought αΉ€7 NO

Edited - didn't see the list below.
Up to 58% is resolved, and 59 and 60 need to be resolved.
Paging @strutheo

@DanielTilkin been struggling with the api/slowness all day

bought αΉ€75 YES

@strutheo No worries, just wanted to make sure you saw it.

sold αΉ€0 YES

@strutheo

I'm doing my part!

@strutheo
Iphone release and frostpunk 2 both on 20 Sept.
I believe frostpunk 2 was 10am PDT (saw a countdown time) and while I don't know but would guess iphones could be collected earlier. Store opening time EST?

@ChristopherRandles yea i am counting iphone first

opened a αΉ€5 NO at 57% order

@strutheo
So 55 iphone
56 Frostpunl 2
and
57 Hurricane John 4th pacific hurricane
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDEP5+shtml/232049.shtml

@strutheo
55 iphone Sept 20
56 Frostpunk 2 Sept 20
57 Hurricane John 4th pacific hurricane Sept 27
58 Second solar eclipse Oct 2

or is there anything else before these?
(I assume Rivals of Aether 2 early access beta weekend from September 27-29 doesn't count)

@strutheo
55 iphone Sept 20
56 Frostpunk 2 Sept 20
57 Hurricane John 4th pacific hurricane Sept 27
58 Second solar eclipse Oct 2
59 EOD Leif Erikson day Oct 9
60 SpaceX 100 launches Oct 15

or is there anything else before these?
(I assume Rivals of Aether 2 early access beta weekend from September 27-29 doesn't count)

@strutheo So resolvable we have:

52% 3rd Pacific hurricane, Hone, 25 Aug

Iphone reveal 10th, but officially releases 20 Sept, so not yet?

53% 4th Atlantic hurricane, Francine 10 September
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/al06/al062024.public_a.009.shtml?

bought αΉ€1 YES

looks like frostpunk is also sept 20 but i will count iphone first since they have preorders and such open, and frostpunk wont release until later in the day possible

bought αΉ€2 NO

@strutheo ^ hasn't been resolved.:
East Pacific Carlotte & Gilma and Central Pacific Hone
Just noting this again from Aug 24th before iphone release.

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