Will Jiang Zemin be alive before 2024?
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resolved Nov 30
Resolved
NO

This market resolves Yes if Jiang Zemin (江泽民) is alive at the end of Dec 2023, Beijing Time (GMT+8).

Jiang Zemin (17 August 1926 - ), ranks 13th on the list of oldest living state leaders.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_oldest_living_state_leaders

China’s former president, Jiang Zemin (江泽民) continues to exert great influence on China’s political system many years after he left the presidency. Having watched Xi Jinping rise and break nearly every political norm that President Xi’s predecessors had established in the wake of Mao Zedong’s debilitating cult of personality, Jiang Zemin has chafed under President Xi’s rule.

Speculations about the deteriorating health of the 96-year-old political veteran, have run rampant over the past years. Rumors circulate about Jiang's critical health almost every year. Former Chinese President Jiang Zemin's last public appearance was back to 2019's 70th anniversary of the People's Republic of China.

"I want to ask about his secret for longevity," said one posting on China's Twitter-like social network Weibo. "How many organs must he have had replaced to be standing in the middle of the stage?" asked another, before China's notorious internet censors swooped in to delete most of the postings within a couple of hours.

Jiang Zemin makes rare appearance at Li Peng in 2019

https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/92-year-old-Jiang-Zemin-makes-rare-appearance-at-Li-Peng-funeral

Jiang Zemin take a mountain hike in fresh public appearance in 2015

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/article/1673595/jiang-zemin-family-steps-out-public?module=perpetual_scroll_0&pgtype=article&campaign=1673595

Sep 10, 12:06am: Will Jiang Zemin be alive before 2024? (aka "2024前江泽民还活着吗") → Will Jiang Zemin be alive before 2024?

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predicted YES

bought Ṁ10 of YES

RFA : Photo of Jiang Zemin's 96th birthday appeared on China social media. He looks damn good.

@stormtk293 I am curating questions for a tournament focused on the 20th people's congress and was wondering if you would be interested in helping me come up with questions and translating them to Mandarin?

@stormtk293 Great photo!

Love that picture of Jiang with Xi and Hu at his last public appearance. Was Jiang who maintained control of the military until well into his successors' tenure?

@BTE You'll love this also.

Yes. Jiang retained the chairmanship of the powerful Central Military Commission after stepped down from the Politburo Standing Committee of the Chinese Communist Party as general secretary at the age of 76. Just because Jiang actually controls army, the "fourth generation" of leadership headed Hu Jintao, was actually forced to be manipulated by him.

bought Ṁ15 of YES

@stormtk293 Right!! He is the most underrated CCP leader. What a giant of history. Thank you for sharing these photos and stories!! We rarely get information like this in the US.

predicted YES

@stormtk293 He looked pretty damn good in 2019. I wonder if he still attends the leadership retreats, the most recent of which just happened I believe. I would give anything to be a fly on the wall in the meetings of the Politburo Standing Committee. The CCP is more like a secret society than a political party, which is something that even Americans who understand it have a very difficult time wrapping their heads around.

bought Ṁ20 of YES

@BTE Jiang no longer attend the Politburo Standing Committee, 2019 was the last appearance. It is believed that Jiang left with escorted right after the open ceremony was announced (showed for 30 mins) in Tienanmen Square.