I'll search for the latest information on OpenAI's valuation and funding status to ensure accuracy.#### Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if OpenAI's valuation reaches $750 billion or higher by March 31, 2026, as reported in a primary funding round, secondary market transaction, or official company announcement. Resolution will be determined by the most recent credible valuation announcement from OpenAI, major news outlets (Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, The Information), or verified secondary market pricing. If no valuation announcement occurs by March 31, 2026, the market resolves NO.

Background

OpenAI was most recently valued at about $500 billion in a secondary transaction. OpenAI is in talks to raise up to $100 billion in a funding round that could value the ChatGPT maker at up to $830 billion, with the company aiming to raise the funding by the end of the calendar first quarter next year. The Information first reported news of the deal, though it said the fundraise would land OpenAI a $750 billion price tag. Market analysis suggests that after accounting for SoftBank's other holdings and applying a 30% holding company discount, the market implies OpenAI is worth approximately $750 billion—50% above its most recent private valuation.

Considerations

The discussions are at an early stage and terms, valuation and total amount raised could change before any deal is finalized. OpenAI is considering filing for an IPO as early as the second half of 2026, though CFO Sarah Friar has suggested 2027 as more realistic. Secondary market pricing and IPO timing could influence valuation outcomes before March 31, 2026.