Which countries will join NATO by 2030? ๐โ
Which countries will join NATO by 2030? ๐โ
34
1.6kแน42412030
71%
Bosnia and Herzegovina ๐ง๐ฆ
34%
Malta ๐ฒ๐น
29%
Ukraine ๐บ๐ฆ
19%
Kosovo ๐ฝ๐ฐ
17%
Serbia ๐ท๐ธ
14%
Cyprus ๐จ๐พ
13%
Moldova ๐ฒ๐ฉ
12%
Georgia ๐ฌ๐ช
12%
Armenia ๐ฆ๐ฒ
11%
Ireland ๐ฎ๐ช
10%
Azerbaijan ๐ฆ๐ฟ
7%
Kazakhstan ๐ฐ๐ฟ
5%
Belarus ๐ง๐พ
5%
Austria ๐ฆ๐น
4%
Switzerland ๐จ๐ญ
2%
Russia ๐ท๐บ
For the purposes of this market, Moldova becoming part of Romania (as part of NATO) means that Moldova would resolve YES.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEightโs performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (แน) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with แน1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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