Will over 1000 people live permanently outside Earth's atmosphere by 2050?
86
1kṀ84572050
43%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The question resolves to YES if on January 1 2050 there are at least 1001 persons outside Earth's atmosphere. Each of them should have either spent or be intended to spend more than one year in space.
Here, the terms 'in space' and 'outside Earth's atmosphere' refer to locations beyond a sphere with a radius of 6471 km from Earth's center. Therefore, locations like low orbit, the Moon, and Mars qualify as 'YES,' while underground and underwater locations do not meet the criteria.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a military skirmish with at least one casualty take place outside of Earth's atmosphere before 2050?
54% chance
Will there be >100 humans living on / in the atmosphere of Venus in 2063?
8% chance
Will there be >100 humans living on Mars in 2050?
27% chance
Will anyone die at least 1000km from Earth before 2030?
17% chance
Will anyone die at least 100,000km from Earth before 2030?
18% chance
Will there be a new record for people orbiting earth by the end of 2025?
26% chance
Will there be off-Earth habitable volume totalling one cubic kilometre by 2050?
42% chance
Will there be a relatively self-sustaining extraterrestial colony before 2050?
24% chance
Will there be >100 humans living on the moon in 2063?
50% chance
Will more than 50 people have landed on the Moon by 2040?
79% chance