By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?

By 2028, will I believe that contemporary AIs are aligned (posing no existential risk)?

Will Yudkowsky agree that his "death with dignity" post overstated the risk of extinction from AI, by end of 2029?

At the beginning of 2026, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?

Will someone take desperate measures due to expectations of AI-related risks by January 1, 2030?

In 2050, will the general consensus among experts be that the concern over AI risk in the 2020s was justified?

Is the nature of AI risk completely misunderstood today with respect to the state of the art in 2030?

Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?

At the beginning of 2025, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?

At the beginning of 2028, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?